BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 148 Overall: (20-11) Overall Strength = 27.28
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (11-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (18-11)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away W * 28.65 89 85 1 227 (15-15) Ohio 1.37 2.63
2 11-07-2025 Away L * 9.53 65 90 1 100 (27- 4) SF Austin -17.75 -7.25
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 26.69 86 85 1 212 (13-16) Missouri St -0.59 1.59
4 11-15-2025 Home W 27.28 95 67 ZZ 73 ( 0- 1) Chr Brothers -0.00 * 28.00
5 11-19-2025 Away L * 33.22 72 85 1 25 (27- 4) St Mary's CA 5.93 -18.93
6 11-21-2025 Away L * 14.47 69 100 1 31 (19-10) SMU -12.82 -18.18
7 11-24-2025 Home W * 32.23 74 63 1 208 (14-15) Jacksonville St 4.95 6.05
8 11-28-2025 Home W * 31.98 85 80 1 1 121 (23- 7) N Dakota St 4.70 0.30
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 42.61 83 63 1 176 (15-13) UT Arlington 15.33 4.67
10 12-06-2025 Away W * 30.50 90 78 1 308 (12-19) Ark Little Rock 3.21 8.79
11 12-13-2025 Away L * 23.83 76 77 1 232 (12-17) Rice -3.45 2.45
12 12-17-2025 Away W * * 42.01 89 70 1 259 (19-12) Texas St 14.72 4.28
13 12-20-2025 Away W * * 31.71 93 86 1 224 (16-15) Southern Miss 4.42 2.58
14 12-30-2025 Home W 27.28 107 63 ZZ 179 ( 0- 1) Arkansas Tech -0.00 * 44.00
15 01-03-2026 Home L * * 15.83 74 78 1 215 (17-14) James Madison -11.46 7.46
16 01-07-2026 Home W * * 36.08 86 74 1 156 (20-11) Troy 8.80 3.20
17 01-10-2026 Home W * * 18.58 83 82 1 259 (19-12) Texas St -8.71 9.71
18 01-15-2026 Away L * * 22.40 87 91 1 1 200 (21-10) South Alabama -4.89 0.89
19 01-17-2026 Away L * * 4.51 74 99 1 156 (20-11) Troy -22.77 -2.23
20 01-22-2026 Away W * * 39.44 85 68 1 269 (16-15) Ga Southern 12.15 4.85
21 01-24-2026 Away L * * 17.92 81 82 1 311 (10-22) Georgia St -9.36 8.36
22 01-28-2026 Home L * * 13.96 71 75 1 245 (12-20) Old Dominion -13.32 9.32
23 01-31-2026 Home L * * 13.10 61 70 1 182 (20-12) Marshall -14.19 5.19
24 02-04-2026 Away W * * 27.86 70 66 1 238 (19-12) Coastal Car 0.58 3.42
25 02-07-2026 Home W * 62.24 91 54 1 149 (17-13) Bowling Green 34.96 2.04
26 02-11-2026 Home W * * 39.46 103 70 1 350 ( 4-28) ULM 12.17 20.83
27 02-14-2026 Home L * * 16.97 88 92 1 1 200 (21-10) South Alabama -10.32 6.32
28 02-19-2026 Away W * * 35.37 79 62 1 306 (11-21) Louisiana 8.08 8.92
29 02-21-2026 Away W * * 19.89 102 94 1 350 ( 4-28) ULM -7.40 15.40
30 02-24-2026 Home W * * 24.28 89 84 1 224 (16-15) Southern Miss -3.00 8.00
31 02-27-2026 Home W * * 35.94 81 58 1 306 (11-21) Louisiana 8.65 14.35
Averages 27.28 83.2 77.1
Best game: 62.24 = 37 point win over Bowling Green
Worst game: 4.51 = 25 point loss to Troy
Team stdev: 11.80