BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 152 Overall: (20-12) Overall Strength = 27.14
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (11-8) | District: 1-02 Record: (18-12)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away W * 28.78 89 85 1 226 (15-17) Ohio 1.64 2.36
2 11-07-2025 Away L * 9.22 65 90 1 103 (28- 6) SF Austin -17.92 -7.08
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 27.55 86 85 1 203 (16-18) Missouri St 0.41 0.59
4 11-15-2025 Home W 27.14 95 67 ZZ 72 ( 0- 1) Chr Brothers -0.00 * 28.00
5 11-19-2025 Away L * 32.57 72 85 1 30 (27- 6) St Mary's CA 5.43 -18.43
6 11-21-2025 Away L * 13.32 69 100 1 42 (20-14) SMU -13.81 -17.19
7 11-24-2025 Home W * 32.36 74 63 1 212 (15-17) Jacksonville St 5.22 5.78
8 11-28-2025 Home W * 32.14 85 80 1 1 121 (26- 8) N Dakota St 5.00 0.00
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 43.25 83 63 1 171 (18-14) UT Arlington 16.11 3.89
10 12-06-2025 Away W * 30.36 90 78 1 309 (12-20) Ark Little Rock 3.22 8.78
11 12-13-2025 Away L * 24.21 76 77 1 232 (13-18) Rice -2.93 1.93
12 12-17-2025 Away W * * 42.07 89 70 1 257 (19-13) Texas St 14.93 4.07
13 12-20-2025 Away W * * 32.42 93 86 1 219 (19-16) Southern Miss 5.28 1.72
14 12-30-2025 Home W 27.14 107 63 ZZ 180 ( 0- 1) Arkansas Tech -0.00 * 44.00
15 01-03-2026 Home L * * 16.10 74 78 1 218 (18-15) James Madison -11.04 7.04
16 01-07-2026 Home W * * 36.41 86 74 1 155 (22-12) Troy 9.27 2.73
17 01-10-2026 Home W * * 18.67 83 82 1 257 (19-13) Texas St -8.47 9.47
18 01-15-2026 Away L * * 22.51 87 91 1 1 204 (21-12) South Alabama -4.63 0.63
19 01-17-2026 Away L * * 4.81 74 99 1 155 (22-12) Troy -22.33 -2.67
20 01-22-2026 Away W * * 41.13 85 68 1 238 (21-16) Ga Southern 13.99 3.01
21 01-24-2026 Away L * * 18.02 81 82 1 310 (10-22) Georgia St -9.12 8.12
22 01-28-2026 Home L * * 14.00 71 75 1 247 (12-21) Old Dominion -13.14 9.14
23 01-31-2026 Home L * * 13.03 61 70 1 187 (20-13) Marshall -14.11 5.11
24 02-04-2026 Away W * * 27.36 70 66 1 249 (19-13) Coastal Car 0.22 3.78
25 02-07-2026 Home W * 62.51 91 54 1 147 (18-14) Bowling Green 35.37 1.63
26 02-11-2026 Home W * * 39.60 103 70 1 351 ( 4-28) ULM 12.46 20.54
27 02-14-2026 Home L * * 17.10 88 92 1 1 204 (21-12) South Alabama -10.04 6.04
28 02-19-2026 Away W * * 35.33 79 62 1 307 (11-22) Louisiana 8.19 8.81
29 02-21-2026 Away W * * 20.00 102 94 1 351 ( 4-28) ULM -7.14 15.14
30 02-24-2026 Home W * * 25.01 89 84 1 219 (19-16) Southern Miss -2.13 7.13
31 02-27-2026 Home W * * 35.92 81 58 1 307 (11-22) Louisiana 8.78 14.22
32 03-05-2026 Neutral L * * 18.43 77 80 1 238 (21-16) Ga Southern -8.71 5.71
Averages 27.14 83.0 77.2
Best game: 62.51 = 37 point win over Bowling Green
Worst game: 4.81 = 25 point loss to Troy
Team stdev: 11.86